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  Election Forecast: 2020 Presidential General Election

  Fernando J. Guerra, Brianne Gilbert, Max Dunsker, and Alejandra Alarcon

  StudyLA conducted an inaugural survey of political thought leaders in Los Angeles asking their predictions for the 2020 general election

  • purposive sample of political thought leaders in or representing Los Angeles with additional snowball sampling

  • 174 respondents

  • self-administered online survey

  • administered October 5-23, 2020

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  25 Years After Prop 187 Brochure

  Fernando J. Guerra, Brianne Gilbert, and Alejandra Alarcon

  About this Research

  This report provides a comparative look at the demographics of California and Los Angeles County electorate, voters, and residents from 1994 ("Then") to 2019 ("Now") to understand the impact of Prop 187. Data from the U.S. Census Bureau and California Secretary of State are analyzed to study trends in the makeup of the two geographies. The proposition's impact is captured through political representation, voter registration, and total population data examined as well as demographic shifts in the makeup of both the electorate and the voters by race and ethnicity and by political affiliation.

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  25 Years After Prop 187 Report

  Fernando J. Guerra, Brianne Gilbert, Alejandra Alarcon, and Vishnu Akella

  ABOUT THIS REPORT

  This report provides a comparative look at the demographics of California and Los Angeles County electorate, voters, and residents from 1994 (“Then”) to the present (“Now”) to understand the impact of California Proposition 187 (1994). Data from the U.S. Census Bureau and the California Secretary of State are analyzed to study trends in the makeup of California and Los Angeles County. The proposition’s impact is captured through political representation, voter registration, and total population data examined as well as demographic shifts in the makeup of both the electorate and the voters by political affiliation and by race and ethnicity. For more information about these results, please contact Brianne Gilbert, Associate Director, at brianne.gilbert@lmu.edu.

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  Education Report - Existing versus Alternatives

  Fernando J. Guerra, Brianne Gilbert, and Mariya Vizireanu

  ABOUT THIS STUDY

  The annual Los Angeles Public Opinion Survey conducted by StudyLA involved 20-minute telephone sessions and online surveys with more than 2,000 adults (1,200 phone and 800 online) living in Los Angeles County. Survey respondents were asked about quality- of-life perceptions, personal economic wellbeing, economic concerns, overall life satisfaction, and various civic issues. The margin of error is ±3.0% for the entire sample. For more information on study methodology, see Appendix section at the end of this report.

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  Housing Report

  Fernando J. Guerra, Brianne Gilbert, and Mariya Vizireanu

  ABOUT THIS STUDY

  The annual Los Angeles Public Opinion Survey conducted by StudyLA involved 20-minute telephone sessions and online surveys with more than 2,000 adults (1,200 phone and 800 online) living in Los Angeles County. This sample includes 1,008 adults living in the City of Los Angeles. The following report focuses on the results of the City of LA survey respondents. Respondents were asked about quality-of- life perceptions, personal economic wellbeing, economic concerns, overall life satisfaction, and various civic issues. The margin of error is ±3.0% for the entire sample.

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  LAUSD Strike Report (Data Collected Before the Strike)

  Fernando J. Guerra, Brianne Gilbert, and Mariya Vizireanu

  LAUSD Strike: 2019 Los Angeles Public Opinion Survey Results. Thomas and Dorothy Leavey Center for the Study of Los Angeles, Loyola Marymount University, Los Angeles, California.

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  LAUSD Strike Report (Data Collected During the First Seven Days of the Strike)

  Fernando J. Guerra, Brianne Gilbert, and Mariya Vizireanu

  ABOUT THIS STUDY

  Note: the following report is based on partially collected data (516 phone and online respondents). The survey runs throughout the month of January 2019. These results reflect the opinions of the 516 residents who were surveyed during the LAUSD strike from Monday, January 14 through Sunday, January 20, 2019. The margin of error is ±4.31% for the 516 respondents. The annual Los Angeles Public Opinion Survey conducted by StudyLA involved 20-minute telephone sessions and online surveys with more than 2,000 adults (1,200 phone and 800 online) living in Los Angeles County. Survey respondents were asked about quality- of-life perceptions, personal economic wellbeing, economic concerns, overall life satisfaction, and various civic issues. The margin of error is ±3.0% for the entire sample. For more information on study methodology, see Appendix section at the end of this report.

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  LAUSD Strike Report - Final Report

  Fernando J. Guerra, Brianne Gilbert, and Mariya Vizireanu

  ABOUT THIS STUDY

  The annual Los Angeles Public Opinion Survey conducted by StudyLA involved 20-minute telephone sessions and online surveys with more than 2,000 adults (1,200 phone and 800 online) living in Los Angeles County. Survey respondents were asked about quality- of-life perceptions, personal economic wellbeing, economic concerns, overall life satisfaction, and various civic issues. The margin of error is ±3.0% for the entire sample. For more information on study methodology, see Appendix section at the end of this report.

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  City Service and Characteristics Report

  Fernando J. Guerra, Brianne Gilbert, Mariya Vizireanu, and Alejandra Alarcon

  How would you rate the service/characteristic as it relates to your city or area as a whole using the scale good, fair, or poor?

  Since 2014, StudyLA's annual Los Angeles Public Opinion Survey of over 2,000 residents has asked respondents to rate 39 different city/county services and characteristics. These 39 questions are divided into six major themes: transportation, crime and safety, built environment and recreation, community and culture, utilities and services, and employment and affordability. Survey respondents rate each item using the scale good, fair, or poor. The percentage for each theme is the compilation of the "good" rating within each of the Los Angeles County service planning areas (SPAs).

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  Downtown LA Community Study - Full Report

  Fernando J. Guerra, Brianne Gilbert, Mariya Vizireanu, and Alejandra Alarcon

  About This Report

  This report details the results of the 2019 intercept survey of 610 Downtown LA residents. These data are compared to results of the 2019 Los Angeles Public Opinion Survey of 2,008 Los Angeles County residents.

  In early 2019, StudyLA field researchers conducted a study in Downtown LA to measure resident perception of various aspects that contribute to quality of life and outlook on the future of the region. To gather the data, trained researchers recruited individuals in Downtown LA to complete a 10 minute survey available in both English and Spanish. The questions assessed public opinion on a range of topics including the area’s characteristics, services, and amenities. The study concluded in 610 completed surveys from Downtown LA residents. The margin of error is ±4% for the entire sample.

  For more information about these results, please contact Brianne Gilbert, Associate Director, at brianne.gilbert@lmu.edu.

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  Landslide or Fire Tax Report

  Fernando J. Guerra, Brianne Gilbert, Mariya Vizireanu, and Alex Kempler

  ABOUT THIS STUDY

  The annual Los Angeles Public Opinion Survey conducted by StudyLA involved 20-minute telephone sessions and online surveys with more than 2,400 adults (1,700 phone and 700 online) living in Los Angeles County. Survey respondents were asked about quality-of- life perceptions, personal economic wellbeing, economic concerns, overall life satisfaction, and various civic issues. The margin of error is ±3.0% for the entire sample. For more information on study methodology, see Appendix section at the end of this report.

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  Sports Teams Report

  Fernando J. Guerra, Brianne Gilbert, Mariya Vizireanu, and Alex Kempler

  ABOUT THIS STUDY

  The annual Los Angeles Public Opinion Survey conducted by StudyLA involved 20-minute telephone sessions and online surveys with more than 2,400 adults (1,700 phone and 700 online) living in Los Angeles County. Survey respondents were asked about quality-of- life perceptions, personal economic wellbeing, economic concerns, overall life satisfaction, and various civic issues. The margin of error is ±3.0% for the entire sample. For more information on study methodology, see Appendix section at the end of this report.

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  Black Lives Matter: 2017 Los Angeles Public Opinion Survey Report

  Fernando J. Guerra, Brianne Gilbert, and Berto Solis

  MAJORITY OF L.A. COUNTY RESIDENTS AGREE WITH BLACK LIVES MATTER, LMU SURVEY FINDS

  Two-thirds (67%) of Los Angeles County residents agree with the Black Lives Matter movement, according to a survey conducted by Loyola Marymount University’s Thomas and Dorothy Leavey Center for the Study of Los Angeles. “In Los Angeles, even wedge issues become non-controversial,” said Fernando Guerra, director and professor of political science and Chicana/o studies at LMU. “Such a high level of support for the nationally controversial issue is astounding even for liberal LA.” The question was part of a public opinion poll administered by StudyLA in January and February to 2,400 Los Angeles County residents through a mixed-mode (telephone and online) method. The survey defined Black Lives Matter as a movement to bring attention to the relationship between African Americans and police departments across the country. Major findings include:

  ▪ Broken down by race, Blacks had the highest level of support for the movement (87% agree), followed by Latinos (71%), Asians (62%), and whites (59%).

  ▪ City of Los Angeles residents were more likely to agree with the movement (73% agree) as compared to Los Angeles County residents (64%).

  ▪ Liberals were very likely to agree with the movement (83%), while moderates had slightly lower levels of support (64%), and conservatives had the lowest levels of support (50%).

  ▪ Students (82% agree) and young Angelenos, ages 18-29 (76%) were supportive of the movement.

  Although Angelenos agreed with the movement at varying levels, demographics expected to oppose the movement came out with substantial levels of support. “Sure, Blacks, liberals, students, and millennials strongly support the movement just as expected,” said Brianne Gilbert, associate director of StudyLA. “But the fact that 50% of conservatives and 59% of whites agree with Black Lives Matter clearly shows that the majority of Angelenos stand with this movement.“ The Thomas and Dorothy Leavey Center for the Study of Los Angeles at Loyola Marymount University is one of the leading undergraduate research centers in the nation. The results of this report are part of the Los Angeles Public Opinion Survey, an annual outlook survey looking at quality-of-life perceptions, personal economic wellbeing, economic concerns, overall life satisfaction, and various civic issues. For more information, please visit: lmu.edu/studyla. The margin of error is +/-3.0 percent.

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  LA Riots 25 Years Later: 2017 Los Angeles Public Opinion Survey Report

  Fernando J. Guerra, Brianne Gilbert, and Berto Solis

  THE LOS ANGELES RIOTS SURVEYS

  The 1992 LA Riots had a profound impact on nearly every aspect of Los Angeles, including government policy, community relations, quality of life, and demographics. Many wondered how these Riots would affect future quality of life, and believed race relations in LA could no longer be ignored. In observance of each of the 5, 10, 15, 20, and 25 year anniversaries of the LA Riots, StudyLA sponsored cross-sectional phone surveys of Angelenos to study their attitudes toward Los Angeles in a longitudinal effort to learn more about the Riots’ impact. A total of 5,455 Angelenos have been surveyed since 1997. This year, the survey was conducted in conjuction with the 2017 Public Opinion Survey.

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  Residents' Sports Preferences: 2017 Los Angeles Public Opinion Survey Report

  Fernando J. Guerra, Brianne Gilbert, and Berto Solis

  LOS ANGELES LOVES A WINNER

  In 2017, LA bleeds Dodger Blue. Although some might make a strong case that Los Angeles has been a blue city for decades, this is the first year of the LA Public Opinion Survey that Angelenos’ preference for the Dodgers has overtaken their love for the Lakers. For four years, StudyLA has asked Angelenos which professional team is their favorite out of those with “LA” in their name. For three straight years, the Lakers have come out on top. However, that percentage has dropped steadily as their inability to make the playoffs has taken a toll on fan loyalty. In 2017, for the first time the Dodgers eked out the Lakers for the top spot in our survey, with 36% of residents ranking them as their favorite professional sports team with LA in their name. The Lakers took a backseat with 35%, while the Clippers ranked a distant third with only 7%. This year, for the first time we also asked about the newest team to play in LA; the Los Angeles Rams garnered 5% of Angelenos’ top support.

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  Residents' Support for Sanctuary Cities: 2017 Los Angeles Public Opinion Survey Report

  Fernando J. Guerra, Brianne Gilbert, and Berto Solis

  MAJORITY OF L.A. COUNTY RESIDENTS SUPPORT LOCAL ‘SANCTUARY CITIES,’ LMU SURVEY FINDS

  More than two-thirds of Los Angeles County residents support the idea of making their hometown a “sanctuary city” where undocumented immigrants could be shielded from deportation, according to a survey conducted by Loyola Marymount University researchers. Forty percent of those surveyed said they “strongly support” a sanctuary city where they live, with 28 percent saying they “somewhat support” the idea. Among opponents, 15 percent said they “somewhat oppose” a sanctuary city in their town, and 17 percent “strongly oppose.” “With such a high level of support for sanctuary cities, ICE’s enforcement would be more difficult. In our survey people are sending a clear message that ICE is not welcome here,” said Fernando Guerra, professor of political science and director of the study. The question was one of dozens asked by the Thomas and Dorothy Leavey Center for the Study of Los Angeles as part of its Forecast LA conference, which includes a wide-ranging survey of Angelenos about the region’s economic outlook and political climate. The conference will be held at LMU on April 19. The issue has been at the forefront of national politics since President Trump not only promised to increase deportations of undocumented immigrants, but also threatened to cut off funding to sanctuary cities. There is no clear definition of what a sanctuary city is, but Los Angeles and many other cities in California have refused to assist efforts to identify undocumented immigrants for deportation, such as holding them after they’ve served jail sentences or allowing local police to question residents about their immigration status. The survey found Latino respondents were the strongest backers of sanctuary cities: 84 percent said they strongly or somewhat supported the idea. African Americans were at 67 percent, and Asian Americans had 57 percent support. White respondents were nearly split, with 51 percent supporting and 49 percent opposing. “We found as the generations get younger, the support increases,” said StudyLA Associate Director Brianne Gilbert. “While all generations were supportive of their city being a sanctuary city, millennials were the most supportive, at 74 percent.” \The survey was conducted by telephone and online in January and February, among 1,200 Los Angeles city residents and 1,200 residents in the rest of the county. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percent.

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  Residents' Trust of Institutions: 2017 Los Angeles Public Opinion Survey Report

  Fernando J. Guerra, Brianne Gilbert, and Berto Solis

  ANGELENOS TRUST POLICE MORE THAN ANY OTHER INSTITUTION, LMU SURVEY FINDS

  Some 25 years after Los Angeles smoldered during massive civil unrest, sparked by a widespread belief that the city’s police were biased and unaccountable, Angelenos trust the LAPD more than any other local institution, according to a survey conducted by Loyola Marymount University researchers. But a troubling racial gap remains, as white and Asian American residents are far more likely to view the Los Angeles Police Department through a positive lens, while African Americans in Los Angeles perceive the police in negative terms.

  The findings represent a ray of hope for the Los Angeles Police Department, a force often troubled in the past by poor relationships with the communities it patrols. The 1992 riots and unrest broke out after four officers captured on video beating African American suspect Rodney King were acquitted of brutality charges in a Simi Valley courtroom. “While the LAPD has had its share of serious issues, the one constant over the last two decades has been efforts by its leadership to mend fences and build relationships with the people of Los Angeles, especially minority communities,” said Fernando Guerra, professor of political science and Chicana/o Studies and director of the center. “Our survey shows the effort has not been wasted, but that more work must still be done.”

  The results come from a survey conducted by the Thomas and Dorothy Leavey Center for the Study of Los Angeles at LMU. The center has surveyed residents every five years since the riots, creating a longitudinal portrait of how the city and region’s attitudes have changed. The full report will be released on Wednesday. This year, respondents were asked if several institutions could be trusted “to do what is right.” Among the choices were the federal government, state government, city government, LAPD, Department of Water and Power, the news media, Los Angeles Unified School District, labor unions, religious institutions, or their neighbors. Among official groups, the LAPD rated highest, with 58 percent saying the police would do the right thing “just about always” or “most of the time.” The only category ranked higher was the amorphous “your neighbors.”

  The major gap in perception occurs between races. Among white respondents, 69 percent said the LAPD would do the right thing, and 68 percent of Asian Americans agreed. But for African Americans surveyed, just 39 percent agreed. Latinos were in the middle, at 54 percent. “In one sense, the data tell us something we already knew in Los Angeles: that even after years of outreach and building bridges, different ethnic groups have widely varying relationships with the police,” said Brianne Gilbert, associate director of the center.

  Also troubling, in an era of fake news and rampant presidential falsehoods, the news industry was the least trusted by Angelenos. Nearly one-fifth (19 percent) of respondents said “the media” does what is right “none of the time.”

  The survey was conducted by telephone and online in January and February, among 1,200 Los Angeles city residents. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percent.